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05 Nov · 07:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1297
3-2Final setsWisniewski won
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1282
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sulkowski at 51%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Karol Sulkowski favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 76.5
106 points played
Over
Set handicap
Karol Sulkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Karol Sulkowski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Karol Sulkowski.

▲ Bartlomiej Wisniewskipre 53% → final 99%
Karol Sulkowski ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsWisniewski recovered from 39%72 points · 5 games