5 Nov · 09:10 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1496
FormLWLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Jadach
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1354
FormLLWLL
65%
35%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 64% (86)
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H14-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-5)