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05 Nov · 14:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJacek Mitas
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1658
3-2Final setsMitas won
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1562
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Czerwinski at 51%. The actual result was Jacek Mitas 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Mitas favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 74.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jacek Mitas −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jacek Mitas −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Mitas is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Czerwinski.

▲ Jacek Mitaspre 45% → final 77%
Bartosz Czerwinski ▼
Biggest swing 50 ptsMitas recovered from 27%72 points · 5 games