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05 Nov · 17:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1322
1-3Final setsKowalczyk won
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1299
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skorski at 51%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Skorski favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Skorski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Skorski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Skorski is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Michal Skorskipre 47% → final 11%
Marcin Kowalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 22%72 points · 4 games