05 Nov · 18:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1427
3-1Final setsAdach won
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1561
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 76%. The actual result was Rafal Adach 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Tkocz favoured — closing 1.4
Total 72.5
75 points played
Set handicap
Tkocz −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Tkocz −6.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Adach is favoured to win, below means Marek Tkocz.
▲ Rafal Adachpre 20% → final 99%
Marek Tkocz ▼
Biggest swing 80 ptsAdach recovered from 20%72 points · 4 games