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05 Nov · 20:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KAKacper Adamus
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1483
3-2Final setsAdamus won
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1542
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 51%. The actual result was Kacper Adamus 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kacper Adamus favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 76.5
103 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kacper Adamus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kacper Adamus −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kacper Adamus is favoured to win, below means Rafal Skotniczny.

▲ Kacper Adamuspre 53% → final 77%
Rafal Skotniczny ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsAdamus recovered from 25%72 points · 5 games