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05 Nov · 20:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMichal Machelski
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1396
3-2Final setsMachelski won
AKArtur Kubiak
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1531
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kubiak at 68%. The actual result was Michal Machelski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Kubiak favoured — closing 1.32
Upset
Total 73.5
108 points played
Over
Set handicap
Artur Kubiak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Kubiak −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Machelski is favoured to win, below means Artur Kubiak.

▲ Michal Machelskipre 34% → final 87%
Artur Kubiak ▼
Biggest swing 85 ptsMachelski recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games