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05 Nov · 21:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1317
1-3Final setsWnek won
SWStanislaw Wnek
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1308
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 51%. The actual result was Stanislaw Wnek 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Mrugala favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 76.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Stanislaw Wnek.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 55% → final 23%
Stanislaw Wnek ▼
Biggest swing 47 ptsWnek recovered from 42%72 points · 4 games