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05 Nov · 21:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KAKacper Adamus
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1488
3-1Final setsAdamus won
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1556
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 54%. The actual result was Kacper Adamus 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 73.5
82 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kacper Adamus is favoured to win, below means Marek Tkocz.

▲ Kacper Adamuspre 49% → final 89%
Marek Tkocz ▼
Biggest swing 52 ptsAdamus recovered from 37%72 points · 4 games