5 Nov · 23:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1315
FormLWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skorski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1272
FormWLLLW
55%
45%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 72% (32)
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H58-68
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)