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← TT Elite Series predictions
05 Nov · 23:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1297
0-3Final setsMrugala won
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1338
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 51%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mrugala 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Mrugala favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
51 points played
Under
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mrugala.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 45% → final 10%
Bartlomiej Mrugala ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsMrugala recovered from 42%72 points · 4 games