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06 Nov · 00:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1553
1-3Final setsLebek won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1533
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 51%. The actual result was Marian Lebek 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 73.5
65 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Tkocz is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Marek Tkoczpre 53% → final 1%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 52 pts64 points · 4 games