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06 Nov · 01:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1325
3-1Final setsSkorski won
SWStanislaw Wnek
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1307
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wnek at 53%. The actual result was Michal Skorski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Stanislaw Wnek favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 75.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Stanislaw Wnek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Stanislaw Wnek −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Skorski is favoured to win, below means Stanislaw Wnek.

▲ Michal Skorskipre 50% → final 89%
Stanislaw Wnek ▼
Biggest swing 48 pts72 points · 4 games