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DeuceLab
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06 Nov · 01:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KAKacper Adamus
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1487
3-1Final setsAdamus won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1526
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 52%. The actual result was Kacper Adamus 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kacper Adamus is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Kacper Adamuspre 44% → final 98%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsAdamus recovered from 28%69 points · 4 games