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06 Nov · 02:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1517
0-3Final setsJurowicz won
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1442
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 64%. The actual result was Grzegorz Jurowicz 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 72.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Lebek is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Jurowicz.

▲ Marian Lebekpre 69% → final 8%
Grzegorz Jurowicz ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsJurowicz recovered from 23%72 points · 3 games