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06 Nov · 05:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1522
2-3Final setsAdamus won
PAPawel Adamus
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1539
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 55%. The actual result was Pawel Adamus 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Lebek is favoured to win, below means Pawel Adamus.

▲ Marian Lebekpre 59% → final 3%
Pawel Adamus ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsAdamus recovered from 25%69 points · 4 games