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06 Nov · 07:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1521
3-1Final setsLebek won
KHKrzysztof Hetnar
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1632
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Hetnar at 58%. The actual result was Marian Lebek 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Hetnar favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 77.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krzysztof Hetnar −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Hetnar −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Lebek is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Hetnar.

▲ Marian Lebekpre 38% → final 88%
Krzysztof Hetnar ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsLebek recovered from 25%72 points · 4 games