6 Nov · 09:20 MEZLow · Slight Edge
WI
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1308
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Iwasyszyn
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1290
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Iwasyszyn
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H48-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.