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06 Nov · 08:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJacek Mitas
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1654
3-2Final setsMitas won
KSKonrad Staszczyk
🇵🇱Konrad Staszczyk
ELO 1755
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staszczyk at 59%. The actual result was Jacek Mitas 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Konrad Staszczyk favoured — closing 1.35
Upset
Total 73.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Konrad Staszczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Konrad Staszczyk −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Mitas is favoured to win, below means Konrad Staszczyk.

▲ Jacek Mitaspre 44% → final 75%
Konrad Staszczyk ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsMitas recovered from 0%72 points · 5 games