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06 Nov · 10:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JBJaroslaw Badura
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1502
3-1Final setsBadura won
MBMariusz Baron
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1533
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Badura at 54%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Badura 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslaw Badura favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 75.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jaroslaw Badura −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jaroslaw Badura −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Badura is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Baron.

▲ Jaroslaw Badurapre 58% → final 90%
Mariusz Baron ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsBadura recovered from 42%72 points · 4 games