6 Nov · 19:20 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1288
FormWLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Wozniak
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Wozniak
ELO 1402
FormLWWLW
38%
62%
🌟Kotwica stays under total as underdog 69% (48)
Fair odds · Wozniak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)