6 Nov · 20:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PM
🇵🇱Piotr Maruszak
ELO 1411
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Malinowski
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1469
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
🌟Malinowski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (22)
Fair odds · Malinowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+58
H2H6-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)