6 Nov · 21:15 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
TF
🇵🇱Tomasz Filbrandt
ELO 1707
FormWWWLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Filbrandt
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1469
FormWLWWW
74%
26%
🌟Filbrandt goes over total as favourite 63% (84)
Fair odds · Filbrandt
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+238
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+238)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)