6 Nov · 21:40 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
WJ
🇵🇱Waldemar Jozala
ELO 1322
FormLWLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Koczyba
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1474
FormLLLWW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H30-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-0)