6 Nov · 22:05 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1288
FormWLLLL
86%Win chancemodel fair 1.16Filbrandt
TF
🇵🇱Tomasz Filbrandt
ELO 1707
FormWWWLW
14%
86%
🌟Kotwica stays under total as underdog 69% (48)
Fair odds · Filbrandt
Model 86% · 1.16vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 73%Total ~71 pts
0-3
43%
1-3
30%
2-3
13%
3-2
6%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+419
H2H9-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+419)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-0)