6 Nov · 18:55 MEZLow · Coin Flip
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1518
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Schaniel
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1531
FormLWLLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ruszkiewicz🌟Ruszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 64% (58)
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H12-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.