6 Nov · 22:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1518
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Ruszkiewicz
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1454
FormWWLLL
57%
43%
🌟Ruszkiewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 19% (32)
Fair odds · Ruszkiewicz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+64
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)