6 Nov · 20:50 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1288
FormWLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Maruszak
PM
🇵🇱Piotr Maruszak
ELO 1411
FormLWLWL
37%
63%
🌟Kotwica stays under total as underdog 69% (48)
Fair odds · Maruszak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+123
H2H13-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-3)