6 Nov · 18:55 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
PM
🇵🇱Piotr Maruszak
ELO 1411
FormLWLWL
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Filbrandt
TF
🇵🇱Tomasz Filbrandt
ELO 1707
FormWWWLW
21%
79%
🌟Filbrandt goes over total as favourite 63% (84)
Fair odds · Filbrandt
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~75 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+296
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+296)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)