6 Nov · 18:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1474
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Koczyba
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1454
FormWWLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H13-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.