6 Nov · 20:10 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1474
FormLLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Schaniel
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1531
FormLWLLL
44%
56%
🌟Koczyba rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (18)
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H17-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)