6 Nov · 20:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1489
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Juszczyk
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1474
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Koczyba rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (18)
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H28-45
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.