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06 Nov · 14:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BSBartosz Sulkowski
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1479
3-1Final setsSulkowski won
WIWojciech Iwasyszyn
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1325
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sulkowski at 57%. The actual result was Bartosz Sulkowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartosz Sulkowski favoured — closing 1.37
Favourite won
Total 74.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartosz Sulkowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Bartosz Sulkowski −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Iwasyszyn.

▲ Bartosz Sulkowskipre 61% → final 96%
Wojciech Iwasyszyn ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsSulkowski recovered from 20%72 points · 5 games