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06 Nov · 14:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PJPatryk Jendrzejewski
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1685
3-0Final setsJendrzejewski won
JMJacek Mitas
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1648
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jendrzejewski at 52%. The actual result was Patryk Jendrzejewski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jendrzejewski favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 75.5
51 points played
Under
Set handicap
Patryk Jendrzejewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Patryk Jendrzejewski −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jendrzejewski is favoured to win, below means Jacek Mitas.

▲ Patryk Jendrzejewskipre 56% → final 5%
Jacek Mitas ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsMitas recovered from 39%70 points · 4 games