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06 Nov · 15:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1555
3-0Final setsWisniewski won
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1575
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rutkowski at 56%. The actual result was Karol Wisniewski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Rutkowski favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 75.5
50 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Rutkowski.

▲ Karol Wisniewskipre 47% → final 98%
Mateusz Rutkowski ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsWisniewski recovered from 36%48 points · 3 games