6 Nov · 23:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1518
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Ruszkiewicz
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1489
FormWWLWL
53%
47%
🌟Ruszkiewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 19% (32)
Fair odds · Ruszkiewicz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+29
H2H10-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.