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06 Nov · 15:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
OVOliver Vincenec
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1435
3-1Final setsVincenec won
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1499
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 57%. The actual result was Oliver Vincenec 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 74.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Oliver Vincenec is favoured to win, below means Rafal Skotniczny.

▲ Oliver Vincenecpre 46% → final 91%
Rafal Skotniczny ▼
Biggest swing 48 ptsVincenec recovered from 43%69 points · 4 games