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06 Nov · 18:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
OVOliver Vincenec
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1441
3-2Final setsVincenec won
JBJaroslaw Badura
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1492
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Badura at 60%. The actual result was Oliver Vincenec 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Badura favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 75.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Badura −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Badura −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Oliver Vincenec is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Badura.

▲ Oliver Vincenecpre 43% → final 94%
Jaroslaw Badura ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsVincenec recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games