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06 Nov · 18:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MPMiroslaw Piecowski
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1285
3-1Final setsPiecowski won
AEAdrian Eliasz
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1356
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Eliasz at 60%. The actual result was Miroslaw Piecowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adrian Eliasz favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 74.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Adrian Eliasz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adrian Eliasz −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslaw Piecowski is favoured to win, below means Adrian Eliasz.

▲ Miroslaw Piecowskipre 36% → final 97%
Adrian Eliasz ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsPiecowski recovered from 32%72 points · 4 games