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06 Nov · 20:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1637
3-2Final setsPawlik won
MNMichal Natkaniec
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1432
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 76%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.25
Favourite won
Total 72.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Cezary Pawlik −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Michal Natkaniec.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 80% → final 83%
Michal Natkaniec ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsPawlik recovered from 29%72 points · 5 games