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06 Nov · 21:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
OJOskar Jedrzejowski
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1585
3-1Final setsJedrzejowski won
MNMichal Natkaniec
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1432
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jedrzejowski at 66%. The actual result was Oskar Jedrzejowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Oskar Jedrzejowski favoured — closing 1.45
Favourite won
Total 73.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Oskar Jedrzejowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Oskar Jedrzejowski −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Oskar Jedrzejowski is favoured to win, below means Michal Natkaniec.

▲ Oskar Jedrzejowskipre 64% → final 93%
Michal Natkaniec ▼
Biggest swing 48 pts72 points · 4 games