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06 Nov · 21:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
LOLukasz Oracz
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1501
1-3Final setsMichalski won
JMJakub Michalski
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1368
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Oracz at 56%. The actual result was Jakub Michalski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukasz Oracz favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 74.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Lukasz Oracz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lukasz Oracz −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Oracz is favoured to win, below means Jakub Michalski.

▲ Lukasz Oraczpre 53% → final 6%
Jakub Michalski ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsMichalski recovered from 31%69 points · 4 games