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06 Nov · 23:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1271
3-1Final setsLukaszewski won
MPMiroslaw Piecowski
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1287
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piecowski at 52%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mikolaj Lukaszewski favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
83 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Miroslaw Piecowski.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 51% → final 89%
Miroslaw Piecowski ▼
Biggest swing 52 ptsLukaszewski recovered from 43%72 points · 4 games