7 Nov · 21:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DJ
🇵🇱Dawid Jadam
ELO 1661
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jadam
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1642
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Jadam
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.