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07 Nov · 01:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1622
2-3Final setsWozniczka won
MWMarcin Wozniczka
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1437
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 61%. The actual result was Marcin Wozniczka 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawlik favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 74.5
105 points played
Over
Set handicap
Pawlik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawlik −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Marcin Wozniczka.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 65% → final 25%
Marcin Wozniczka ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsWozniczka recovered from 14%72 points · 5 games