07 Nov · 02:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1435
3-1Final setsFira won
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1594
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 71%. The actual result was Damian Fira 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Guzik favoured — closing 1.42
Total 76.5
74 points played
Set handicap
Guzik −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Guzik −5.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Damian Fira is favoured to win, below means Michal Guzik.
▲ Damian Firapre 30% → final 79%
Michal Guzik ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsFira recovered from 27%72 points · 4 games