07 Nov · 05:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1435
3-1Final setsFira won
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1478
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Oracz at 66%. The actual result was Damian Fira 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Oracz favoured — closing 1.4
Total 72.5
64 points played
Set handicap
Oracz −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Oracz −6.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Damian Fira is favoured to win, below means Lukasz Oracz.
▲ Damian Firapre 29% → final 97%
Lukasz Oracz ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsFira recovered from 17%63 points · 4 games