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07 Nov · 05:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1426
3-1Final setsPiotrowski won
MMMichal Minda
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1472
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Minda at 62%. The actual result was Tadeusz Piotrowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Minda favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 75.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Minda −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Minda −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tadeusz Piotrowski is favoured to win, below means Michal Minda.

▲ Tadeusz Piotrowskipre 34% → final 87%
Michal Minda ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsPiotrowski recovered from 33%69 points · 4 games