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07 Nov · 07:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1261
0-3Final setsPoloszczanski won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1251
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poloszczanski at 56%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wisniewski favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 76.5
59 points played
Under
Set handicap
Wisniewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Wisniewski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Bartlomiej Wisniewskipre 47% → final 5%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsPoloszczanski recovered from 40%57 points · 3 games