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07 Nov · 09:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMarcin Marchlewski
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1632
1-3Final setsMinda won
MMMichal Minda
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1472
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marchlewski at 68%. The actual result was Michal Minda 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marchlewski favoured — closing 1.35
Upset
Total 77.5
76 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marchlewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marchlewski −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Marchlewski is favoured to win, below means Michal Minda.

▲ Marcin Marchlewskipre 66% → final 2%
Michal Minda ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsMinda recovered from 31%72 points · 4 games